Viewing Future Stock Prices

The sleeping lion finally roars

＜5＞

A month passed quickly.

It is 2:00 a.m. on Wednesday, January 16, 2019, when white snow is pouring.

Looking at the night view of the city enveloped in darkness through the windows of the officetel, Hyeon-joon watched the white snowflakes piling up under the streetlights.

Hot coffee with steam rising like threads. Hyeon-jun, who was standing while drinking the coffee carefully, turned around and sat down in front of his desk.

His small living room has changed a lot from before.

The TV is gone from the living room, and so is the sofa. A long desk was placed in the middle of the living room, and a total of six monitors were arranged in a row. A total of three desktops were placed, one desktop body per two monitors.

Hyeonjun put the mug on one side of the desk and stared at the monitors. The investment Hyun-joon is going to make now is US option investment.

Over the past month, Hyun-joon has repeatedly bought and sold stocks dozens or hundreds of times a day to enhance his investment sense.

In other words, it is a scalping trading technique.

And as a result, I blew away all the cash I had in the beginning.

In general, scalping refers to holding stocks for about 2 to 3 minutes, so it is also a stock trading technique in the form of multiple sales that can be traded dozens or hundreds of times a day.

This method is completely different from long-term investment, which is referred to as value investing, and it is true that if a beginner falls in love with the drug-like taste of scalping, he or she can lose all of the principal at once. In some cases, it is a very risky trading technique.

Nevertheless, Hyun-joon focused on long-term investment, that is, a scalping trading method that can realize profits immediately rather than a value investment method, and focused all on raising the sense of investment as a scalper. It is to quickly recover the work ability of the workplace.

Currently, the name of the US stock market that Hyun-jun monitors is [EVS Soft].

Hyun-joon, who was sitting on the chair in front of the desk, continued to stare at the [EVS Soft] stock price trend graph as if he were chasing it.

The current share price of this stock is $84.58.

It is down 1.09% from the previous trading day’s closing price of $85.51.

Currently, the range of stock price volatility is not that great. However, unlike the real stock market, completely different explosive movements were taking place in the individual stock options market.

In other words, in the case of a put option product based on the at-the-money (real stock price) of $84.58, the put option with a strike price of $83 has increased the option premium by +108.7% compared to the previous trading day, and the put option with a strike price of $85 has also risen. Compared to the previous trading day, the price has risen by +86.49%.

That’s right, it’s an option.

Even though stock prices fluctuate by only about 1%, options themselves can fluctuate up to 100% or more in a single day. So, for example, if you invest in an option with 10 million won, you can become empty in just a few hours or just a few minutes and seconds, or an enormous profit field in which the principal doubles in an instant can be realized.

Such a risky investment. Of course, a hasty approach is prohibited. For example, it is this option investment market that recklessly invests, buys and sells (a form of buying and selling carried away by temporary emotions), and enjoys the taste of hell unconditionally.

Hyun-joon continued to monitor the stock price trend.

$84.62.

The stock price rises slightly, but then sinks again.

$84.58.

$84.55.

$84.52.

$84.46.

Is it a downtrend after all?

It seems that it continues to lead to a slight decline, to the extent that I suddenly feel that way.

Nevertheless, the stock price soon rebounded, leading to a slight rise.

$84.50.

$84.53.

$84.56.

While the small fluctuations continue in this way, the options market, on the other hand, is running amok.

In other words, even with these small fluctuations, the option market, a form of derivative finance, is reflected more strongly and more intensely.

2:35:45 in the morning.

Hyeonjun continued to analyze the situation while staring at the monitors. Then, suddenly, Hyeon-jun’s pupils were tenaciously focusing on the numbers, and three or four minutes had passed since then, as if a long time had flowed.

Gradually, strange changes began to appear in Hyeon-jun’s pupils.

The appearance of the pupil almost stopping as if the pupil is rigid. Then, suddenly, the size of the pupils became noticeably smaller and larger, and a so-called mydriasis appeared temporarily.

However, this pupillary dilation disappeared as soon as it appeared.

Hyeonjun, who came to his senses soon, began to move his hands holding the wireless mice very quickly as if he sensed something sharp.

In other words, holding the two mice in his right hand and left hand, Hyun-jun opened each call option trading window and quickly started placing buy orders.

Tring!

“The purchase order has been filled”

Tring!

“The purchase order has been filled”

Tring!

“The purchase order has been filled”

2:56:46 in the morning.

About 20 minutes passed in the blink of an eye, and a considerable amount of contracts appeared to be signed.

And Hyun-joon immediately checks the entire signed contract.

Call options with a strike price of $86 (average of $0.52 per option), total of 78 contracts.

Calls with a strike price of $87 (0.28 average), 83 contracts total.

Calls with a strike price of $88 (average 0.15), total of 66 contracts.

Calls with a strike price of $89 (average 0.08), total of 42 contracts.

$90 strike price call options (average 0.04), total 33 contracts.

Calls with a strike price of $91 (average 0.03), 45 contracts total.

In fact, these contracts themselves have enormous meaning. This is because this option itself means a contract of approximately 500 shares per contract, so signing one contract means buying 500 call options in one contract.

So, if you convert and calculate in this way, approximately 40,000 dollars (45 million won in Korean won) went into this call option investment.

And when the option expires in the future, this call option means that you can buy stocks by paying each strike price. You can buy the stock, so you’re making a $10 profit right away. In other words, since an option is a right, if you bought this right at $0.04 now, if you make a profit of $10 in the future, in other words, you can earn $10 divided by $0.04, or 250 times the profit.

On the other hand, Hyun-joon is using all of his investment money with a credit loan from the first financial sector, and he got a loan at a low interest rate because the position of professor itself has a very high credit rating. Putting it all into an investment.

#

Whoa, but is this going to happen?

I am a bit anxious

However, Hyun-joon silently watched the dynamics of real stock prices and the changes in option premiums while feeling the powerful pumping power transmitted from his heart.

In fact, through severe scalping trading for a month, I regained my sense of investment, and in addition, I also regained the strange sense of optical illusion that I vaguely felt at the end of my work life.

It feels like something is predicting the flow. That’s it.

This could be the emotional part, but it could also be a vain delusion. However, Hyeon-joon felt that his feelings were a little different from that in his past days at work.

In particular, when I felt that way, I always succeeded in my own individual investment, which was carried out without others knowing, separate from the work itself. Could this be true animal sense?

And as part of that, Hyun-joon boldly jumped into investing again.

In fact, the investment board is a battlefield. A place where you can never achieve victory without shedding blood.

An investor who is excited by small achievements and discouraged by small failures will never be an investor. Such a person is simply an investment stranger who has briefly stepped into the game to take a small gamble.

In that sense, Hyun-jun is by no means an outsider to investing.

Investment Champion!

That’s why I jumped directly into a very risky overseas option investment. Of course, investing in individual stock options in the United States is so risky that it is virtually banned for the general public in Korea. So, it was true that it took time to implement the investment, as it went through a somewhat complicated process by going through a detour and reviving the experience of studying abroad in the United States.

As a result, after a month had elapsed since his first stock investment attempt, Hyun-jun started his first option investment.

#

Current share price, $84.56.

There are still no major changes.

But is it really so?

Another hour later, Hyeon-jun, who was concentrating on singing, suddenly sees his eyes widening.

The stock price trend of [EVS Soft] revealed in the order window.

Suddenly, the trade agreement appeared as if it was hitting the upper side of the arc, and gradually abnormal symptoms began to appear in the stock price.

There is no upper or lower limit, so the stock price of the US stock market can fluctuate greatly in a single day.

And just then.

Out of nowhere, the tremendous buying momentum soared as if exploding, and the [EVS Soft] stock price, which was like sleeping peacefully, suddenly began to show great fluctuations.

Just like a sleeping lion suddenly wakes up and roars madly toward the meadow.